\

7.24  Conclusions

Learning how to assess the intrinsic value of a stock is important for many reasons.  Arguably, the most important reason is that this lets you assess what the expected return from a stock is given it's spot price.  Assessing risk and return is critical to every investment decision and this chapter has worked systematically through this exercise.  The important concepts for working with the Free Cash Flow approach to assessing intrinsic value were introduced and applied.  As a result, after working through this chapter, you should be familiar with:

  • ·    The difference between cash dividend and economic dividends

  • ·      Various approaches to estimating free cash flows to equity

  • ·      Estimating the growth rate of free cash flow

  • ·      Estimating discount rates

  • ·      Using these estimates to determine intrinsic value and the implied expected return from IBM.

  •         How to forecast the price in 1-year's time based upon your analysis