8.6
Valuation using Residual Income
Under clean
surplus accounting a1 = CI1 – (BV1
– BV0), where CI1 is comprehensive income for
the next period, BV1 is end of period book value per
share and 0 denotes the present.
We can now
re-write equation 1) invoking the clean surplus relationship above
as:
Intrinsic
Value=V0 = (CI1 – (BV1 – BV0)
+ V1)/(1 + ke)
= (BV0 + CI1)/(1+ke) + (V1
- BV1)/(1+ke)
4)
Observe that BV0/(1
+ ke) can be equivalently expressed by adding and
subtracting BV0
as BV0/(1+ke) + BV0
– BV0 and then re-arranging to yield:
BV0 +
BV0/(1+ke) – BV0 = BV0 +
(BV0 – (1+ke)BV0)/(1+ke)
= BV0 -keBV0/(1+ke)
Substituting
back into 2) yields:
V0 =
BV0 + (CI1 – keBV0)/(1+ke)
+ (V1 – BV1)/(1+ke)
5)
Again by
substituting for V1 and re-arranging you can then
establish the equivalent form that is a function of V2
and so on. We now arrive
at the residual income valuation model:
V0 =
BV0 + RI1/(1+ ke) + RI2/(1+ke)2
+ ……..
6)
This expression
starts with the book value per share and
adjusts it by the present value of all future
residual income.
Residual income is a concept of how the book value of shareholder’s
equity grows over time under clean surplus accounting taking into
account the opportunity cost of capital.
As a result, the RIV valuation model provides a conceptually
coherent framework that ties together clean surplus accounting, book
values, comprehensive income and opportunity costs as described
above.
It is a technique that applies to any stock irrespective of whether or
not it pays an accounting dividend.